Portfolio control panel

Project Pelican

[LIVE PRIMARY] production | acct …2289 Dashboard — Rendered 2026-05-20 09:52:55 ET

No broker-truth entries or closes recorded today yet. 3 broker-truth positions live across 3 / 30 with mark coverage 3 / 3. Largest ticker exposure is AMZN $6,633.00 (3.32%). broker snapshot unavailable; canonical health critical: Execution slippage (24h).

Broker snapshot issue: Client error '401 Unauthorized' for url 'https://api.tradier.com/v1/accounts/6YB52289/balances' For more information check: https://developer.mozilla.org/en-US/docs/Web/HTTP/Status/401

Broker accountTradier balances
Total equity$0.00

Tradier total_equity.

Cash$0.00

Tradier total_cash.

Open P/L$0.00

Tradier open_pl.

Closed P/L-$16,450.00

Tradier close_pl.

Broker positions2026-05-14 14:56
Option legs6

Count from broker reconcile n_positions.

Open spreads3

Reconstructed from broker legs; shown only when leg match is proven.

Mark coverage3 / 3

Open spread marks from current broker quotes.

Broker ordersopen 0
Open orders0

Broker open-order signatures / pending orders.

Orders seen12

Orders in latest broker reconcile snapshot.

Filled today12

Broker-confirmed filled signatures today.

Broker-verifiable exposure3 / 30
Open risk$13,716.00

Derived only from broker-confirmed live legs; 0.00% of equity.

Largest tickerAMZN $6,633.00 (3.32%)

Current concentration from broker-confirmed live legs.

Broker Equity

N/A

Tradier total_equity from balances endpoint.

Broker Cash

N/A

Tradier total_cash from balances endpoint.

Broker Open P/L

N/A

Tradier open_pl; not banked.

Broker Closed P/L

-$16,450.00

Tradier close_pl from broker balances.

Broker Option Legs

6

Broker reconcile timestamp 2026-05-14 14:56.

Broker Open Orders

0

Orders seen 12; filled today 12.

Open Spreads Proven

3

Reconstructed from broker legs; not local-only rows.

Mark Coverage

3 / 3

Current quotes fetched for broker-confirmed spreads.

Dashboard truth strip

Current production truth

Source: active model paths, broker/local sync, cycle artifacts, publish manifest.

Layered readiness

Book truth, live data, model path, execution quality

Canonical health: 63 ok / 1 warn / 1 critical.

Book Sync OK broker/local failures=none
Dashboard Freshness OK public render/model truth gate
Model Hotpath OK family=tft_classical_sequence_v1
Live Data WARN Core40=pass; source=s3_snapshot_plus_live_feature_extraction_plus_prebuilt_databento_core40_cache
Feature Refresh BLOCKED full_matrix_live_entry=False; latest=2026-05-18T20:00:30Z
Execution Quality CRITICAL Execution slippage (24h)
Entry Policy ALLOWED_WITH_EXECUTION_PENALTY entries allowed only if per-cycle executable edge survives costs and gates
Exit Policy ACTIVE simple_live_v3_structure_exits; last=2026-05-15 15:10 PT
Dashboard Truth OK blockers: none
Active Family tft_classical_sequence_v1 single_truth=True
Active TFT models/ensemble_production_tft_classical_sequence_v1_20260510.pkl 2026-05-10T12:00:36Z
Active GBM models/ensemble_production_gbm_v5_20260510.pkl tft_classical_sequence_v1_20260510
Git SHA 569cca06b38c runtime HEAD
Rendered 2026-05-20 06:52 PT local artifact clock
Published 2026-05-20 06:47 PT public manifest clock
Broker Sync 2026-05-20 06:52 PT ok=True
Broker Legs 6 orders=12 open_sig=0
Local Counts None / None SQLite / JSON open rows
Last Model Cycle 2026-05-15 12:32 PT • selected 0 • submitted 0 cycle summary surface
Last Exit Cycle 2026-05-15 15:10 PT exit monitor heartbeat
Health critical money pipeline / dashboard truth

Book risk / bad positions

Exit-required and boundary-DTE positions

Freshness: curated open-book rows through 2026-05-15 12:32 PT.

This is the red operator rail: live positions below the hard DTE lane must already be pending/attempted. Unattempted rows are surfaced above normal diagnostics.

0
Required but unattempted
0
Total exit-required
0
At hard-DTE boundary
8
Hard exit DTE threshold
StateTickerTypeStrikesQtyDTEExpiryOpen MTMPending ReasonAttempts
No below-threshold or boundary-DTE positions in broker-truth open book.

Single truth

S3 snapshot → make-money pipeline

Generated 2026-05-20 06:52 PT

One canonical readout ties the S3 trigger, feature/model cycle, candidate selection, execution gateway, broker/local truth, live book, exit policy, and P&L feedback together. If a stage is missing or blocked, it shows here instead of competing dashboard stories.

OK
Pipeline status; blocked stages: none
0
Selected for execution latest completed cycle.
0
Orders submitted latest completed cycle.
0
Broker position legs in current live truth.
0
SQLite broker-backed open rows.
simple_live_v3_structure_exits
Active exit policy single truth.
1 S3 snapshot ok
2 Feature + model cycle ok
3 Live source manifest warn
4 News state + live inference ok
5 Production model truth ok
6 Candidates + selection ok
7 Execution gateway ok
8 Broker/local truth ok
9 Live book + exit policy ok
10 P&L feedback ok
StageStateSummaryMetrics
S3 snapshot ok data/2026/05/15/15-30-20.json snapshot_key=data/2026/05/15/15-30-20.json • cycle_timestamp=2026-05-15T15:32:56.377373-04:00
Feature + model cycle ok runtime_ms=28214 runtime_ms=28214 • s3_download_ms=522 • model_load_ms=461 • prediction_ms=2742 • spread_search_ms=0
Live source manifest warn entry source=S3/live extraction/Databento prebuilt cache; core40=pass; full_feature_matrix_live_entry=False; training_backfill=blocked; global_block=False entry_source=s3_snapshot_plus_live_feature_extraction_plus_prebuilt_databento_core40_cache • latest_market_snapshot_ts=2026-05-15T19:30:20Z • databento_core40_status=pass • databento_hotpath_network_calls=0 • full_feature_matrix_live_entry=False
News state + live inference ok status=warn; family=news_state_dual_pca64_v1; hidden_model=clapAI/Fin-ModernBERT; hidden_rows=93764; hidden_latest=2026-05-19T20:00:29Z; dual_sha=856f2145c668; coverage=53802/58394; issues=latest_feature_snapshot_has_no_hidden_state_coverage; live_hotpath=pass worst_ms=9951 hidden_status=warn • hidden_rows=93764 • feature_coverage_ratio=0.921362 • live_hotpath_status=pass • live_hotpath_worst_ms=9951.29
Production model truth ok family=tft_classical_sequence_v1; gbm=models/ensemble_production_gbm_v5_20260510.pkl; tft=models/ensemble_production_tft_classical_sequence_v1_20260510.pkl active_family=tft_classical_sequence_v1 • active_gbm_model_path=models/ensemble_production_gbm_v5_20260510.pkl • active_tft_model_path=models/ensemble_production_tft_classical_sequence_v1_20260510.pkl • active_model_paths_updated_at_utc=2026-05-10T12:00:36Z • run_id=tft_classical_sequence_v1_20260510
Candidates + selection ok No trades selected this cycle. candidates=0 • selected=0 • live_blockers=0
Execution gateway ok submitted=0, failures=0, results=0 submitted=0 • pending=0 • rejected=0 • failures=0 • results=0
Broker/local truth ok broker_legs=None, sqlite_open=None, json_open=None, failures=[] —
Live book + exit policy ok exit_mode=simple_live_v3_structure_exits; open_positions=3; exit_actions=0 exit_mode=simple_live_v3_structure_exits • open_positions=3 • exit_actions=0
P&L feedback ok broker closed P/L=-1817.0; broker open P/L=53.0; source=broker_truth broker_close_pl=-1817.0 • broker_open_pl=53.0 • canonical_source=broker_truth • local_pnl_authority=False • local_pnl_role=attribution_only_not_resume_authority

Latest snapshot: data/2026/05/15/15-30-20.json

Live source manifest: entry scoring uses s3_snapshot_plus_live_feature_extraction_plus_prebuilt_databento_core40_cache; Databento Core40 source is databento_live_api_off_hotpath_prebuilt_state_cache with hotpath network calls=0. full_feature_matrix_v4_live_entry=False; training/backfill=blocked; global_block=False; scoped tickers=SFM.

Opportunity audit

Why did we enter, or why did we stand down?

Source: /Users/guclaw/.openclaw/pelican/runtime/quant-research/runtime_state/live/cycle_opportunity_audit_v1.json

This is the cycle-level execution funnel: candidates, edge, selection, submission, the primary no-submit reason, and the best executable fallback when dedup or policy blocks the selected spread.

0
Raw candidates
0
Positive edge
0
Selected
0
Submitted
broker_sync.paused_for_ibkr_migration
No-submit reason
available
Audit status

Candidate trail

Best candidates

AVAILABLE

  • Best positive: N/A
  • Selected: N/A
  • Submitted: N/A
  • Fallback: N/A

Control checks

Invariants and blockers

  • No invariant checks captured yet.
  • No blocked candidate sample available.

Execution feedback

Prediction → order → fill → P&L

Generated 2026-05-20 06:52 PT

This panel is chart-ready from attribution tables. It is deliberately shadow-only: it explains execution quality and money capture without changing selection, sizing, or order behavior.

14
Closed trades with outcome attribution.
25
Filled trades linked to predictions/orders.
$45.00
Realized P/L from attributed closed trades.
-25.36%
Edge capture: realized / predicted edge dollars.
pending
Average fill delay seconds.
-4.4676
Average fill minus submitted limit.
-5.0627
Average fill minus quoted mid.
-38022.86%
Fill slippage / predicted edge.
-$5,382.15
Average edge left after fill.

Funnel

Candidate census

Generatedgenerated
0
Quote-validquote_valid
0
Liquidity-validliquidity_valid
0
Model-scoredmodel_scored
0
Sequence TFTsequence_tft_scored
0
Eligibleeligible
12
Selectedselected
22
Submittedsubmitted
18
Filledfilled
25
Exitedexited
14

Waterfall

Edge into money

Predicted Edge
$224.36
Submitted Edge
$224.36
Filled Edge
$215.72
Realized P/L
$45.00

Distribution overlay

Predicted edge vs actual realized outcomes

predicted actual

< -250
P 0 / A 29
-250..-100
P 0 / A 6
-100..0
P 0 / A 35
0..100
P 34 / A 16
100..250
P 0 / A 9
>= 250
P 0 / A 13
unknown
P 2 / A 0

Model inspection

Classical sequence TFT drivers

Generated 2026-05-10 23:16 PT

The active sequence TFT is inspected from model artifact internals: variable-selection weights, temporal attention, quantile monotonicity, DTE/expiry diagnostics, calibration, and realized-outcome readiness.

tft_classical_sequence_v1
Active model family from inspection artifact.
6
Ensemble seeds inspected.
1024
Rows sampled for VSN/attention probes.
PASS
DTE/expiry leak-free proof; mismatches 0.
0.0000
Quantile crossing rate.
PASS
Replay PIT calibration status.

Encoder VSN

Sequence/context drivers

days_to_monthly_opexrank 1
4.96%
rv_5drank 2
3.00%
xasset_hyg_intraday_retrank 3
2.15%
has_earnings_transcriptrank 4
1.92%
xasset_target_vs_peersrank 5
1.85%
db_put_call_skew_diffrank 6
1.58%
days_to_nfprank 7
1.39%
dow_sinrank 8
1.30%

Candidate VSN

Spread-candidate drivers

candidate_dterank 1
3.70%
long_leg_oirank 2
3.32%
sequence_end_dterank 3
3.20%
short_vegarank 4
3.18%
distance_to_short_strike_pctrank 5
3.13%
long_gammarank 6
3.09%
short_ivrank 7
3.08%
entry_credit_askrank 8
3.07%

Temporal attention

Which sequence steps matter

2 steps backstep 25
3.81%
1 steps backstep 26
3.79%
4 steps backstep 23
3.78%
3 steps backstep 24
3.78%
0 steps backstep 27
3.77%
5 steps backstep 22
3.73%
10 steps backstep 17
3.72%
6 steps backstep 21
3.71%

Counterfactuals

Prediction sensitivity

FeatureBumpDelta medianDelta p20Delta p80
short_leg_oi 100.0 +0.019558 +0.019125 +0.020058
long_leg_quote_age_seconds 30.0 +0.015175 +0.014992 +0.016804
short_leg_volume 10.0 -0.011913 -0.011872 -0.011773
short_leg_quote_age_seconds 30.0 -0.010770 -0.010813 -0.010628
long_leg_volume 10.0 -0.010685 -0.010654 -0.010590
long_leg_oi 100.0 +0.006381 +0.006312 +0.006443
candidate_quote_age_seconds 30.0 -0.002219 -0.002068 -0.001486
candidate_dte 7.0 -0.001854 -0.001843 -0.001831

Slices

Per-ticker top drivers

SliceRowsTop encoderTop candidate
AAPL 112 days_to_monthly_opex short_strike
QQQ 97 xasset_hyg_intraday_ret candidate_dte
GOOGL 94 days_to_monthly_opex long_leg_oi
AMZN 81 days_to_monthly_opex long_leg_oi
MSFT 79 has_earnings_transcript candidate_dte
UBER 76 xasset_target_vs_peers short_iv

Slices

Per-structure top drivers

SliceRowsTop encoderTop candidate
bear_call 797 days_to_monthly_opex candidate_dte
bull_put 227 rv_5d distance_to_short_strike_pct

Predicted vs actual

Realized distribution readiness

not_enough_realized_trade_data_yet

Not enough realized trade data yet.

How Pelican actually makes money

Entry edge → harvest → protect

Broker-truth open book: 3 / 3 marked.

This is the money path: rows are broker-truth open positions/legs, marked from fresh broker quotes. Entry basis and TP math are advisory when the row says visibility-only; only the broker-proof close gateway can turn a dashboard signal into an order.

Edge
Entries must clear model value, costs, liquidity, portfolio overlap, and final quote checks.
0
Open spreads currently at take-profit threshold.
0
Open spreads currently pressing stop rails.
-$36.25
Broker-quote marked open MTM across live spreads.
v3
Single exit truth: simple_live_v3_structure_exits / structure_dte_tp_sl_v1.
No aliases
Legacy TP/SL shadow and v2 rule paths are deleted from active code.

Exit intelligence order: broker-proof quote-only structure TP/SL is visible here; the slow smart cycle then re-prices EdgeGone/FreshEdge. Hard-DTE and near-max-loss stay safety rails. There are no alternate TP/SL shadow policies on this surface.

TickerTruth sourceTypeStrikesQtyTrading DTEBroker-mark MTMBasis capture / TPGuardrailNow — not an order
AMZN broker order Bull Put $260.0/250.0 9 16 $11.25 0.48% / 60.00%
canonical fill basis		 close debit ≥ $420.80 / contract (1.60×) Hold / reprice
GOOGL broker order Bull Put $390.0/380.0 9 16 -$90.00 -3.33% / 60.00%
canonical fill basis		 close debit ≥ $480.00 / contract (1.60×) Hold / reprice
MSFT broker order Bull Put $385.0/375.0 1 16 $42.50 19.59% / 60.00%
canonical fill basis		 close debit ≥ $347.20 / contract (1.60×) Hold / reprice

Decision chain

Prediction → candidate → order/fill → live mark → exit result

Prediction diagnostics generated 2026-05-20 06:18 PT.

The dashboard now keeps the money path coupled. Predictions and candidate edges are not buried in diagnostics; accepted entries, broker order truth, live marks, and exit outcomes sit in one readout.

1Predict1 tickers scored latest trigger
2Select346 logged entry predictions
3Execute0 opened today
4Mark<strong>Freshness:</strong> curated open-book rows through 2026-05-15 12:32 PT.
5Exit0 closed today
2026-05-20 06:18
Latest prediction trigger
N/A
Latest avg p95-p05 width
2026-03-30 11:33
Latest accepted-entry prediction
No live blockers recorded this cycle.
Current block/accept context
PositionStructurePrediction / EdgeEntry ReasonOrder / EntryMark / ExitNext Rail
BA
Bull Put		 225.0/220.0
DTE 16		 edge 16.21% entered with reference edge +16.2% 126424605
entry Credit $1.41		 Exited loss guard after adverse repricing; realized -$1,881.00 Closed
COIN
Bull Put		 205.0/195.0
DTE 16		 edge 13.48% entered with reference edge +13.5% 126379794
entry Credit $3.23		 Exited loss guard after adverse repricing; realized -$860.00 Closed
GOOGL
Bull Put		 390.0/380.0
DTE 23		 No linked prediction row entry snapshot unavailable; tracked under repriced-edge policy 126411464
entry Credit $3.00		 Live mark -$90.00 Monitor hold/add/replace rails
GOOGL
Bull Put		 385.0/375.0
DTE 9		 edge 18.79% entered with reference edge +18.8% 125979786
entry Credit $2.75		 Exited repriced edge fell below the hold threshold; realized $513.00 Closed
TSLA
Bull Put		 420.0/410.0
DTE 23		 edge 15.51% entered with reference edge +15.5% 126366102
entry Credit $2.86		 Exited repriced edge fell below the hold threshold; realized -$180.00 Closed
TSLA
Bull Put		 420.0/410.0
DTE 16		 edge 13.00% entered with reference edge +13.0% 126324937
entry Credit $2.64		 Exited edge gone; realized $108.00 Closed
AMZN
Bull Put		 260.0/250.0
DTE 23		 edge 22.65% entered with reference edge +22.6% 126297877
entry Credit $2.63		 Live mark $11.25 Monitor hold/add/replace rails
PLTR
Bull Put		 125.0/120.0
DTE 9		 edge 18.52% entered with reference edge +18.5% 126179612
entry Credit $1.54		 Exited edge gone; realized $483.00 Closed
COIN
Bull Put		 190.0/185.0
DTE 9		 No linked prediction row entry snapshot unavailable; tracked under repriced-edge policy 126179620
entry Credit $1.60		 Exited loss guard after adverse repricing; realized -$1,235.00 Closed
COIN
Bull Put		 190.0/180.0
DTE 9		 edge 14.57% entered with reference edge +14.6% 126088467
entry Credit $2.98		 Exited edge gone; realized $120.00 Closed
MSFT
Bull Put		 385.0/375.0
DTE 23		 edge 6.66% entered with reference edge +6.7% 126001202
entry Credit $2.17		 Live mark $42.50 Monitor hold/add/replace rails
COIN
Bull Put		 195.0/185.0
DTE 9		 No linked prediction row entry snapshot unavailable; tracked under repriced-edge policy 125730642
entry Credit $3.22		 Exited loss guard after adverse repricing; realized -$580.00 Closed
COIN
Bull Put		 190.0/185.0
DTE 9		 No linked prediction row entry snapshot unavailable; tracked under repriced-edge policy 125701704
entry Credit $1.32		 Exited loss guard after adverse repricing; realized -$893.00 Closed
COIN
Bull Put		 205.0/195.0
DTE 2		 edge 12.76% entered with reference edge +12.8% 125560275
entry Credit $2.92		 Exited time window closed before edge improved; realized $20.00 Closed
COIN
Bull Put		 205.0/195.0
DTE 9		 edge 11.98% entered with reference edge +12.0% 125560271
entry Credit $3.35		 Exited loss guard after adverse repricing; realized -$10.00 Closed
TSLA
Bull Put		 415.0/405.0
DTE 16		 No linked prediction row entry snapshot unavailable; tracked under repriced-edge policy 124781711
entry Credit $4.95		 Exited edge gone; realized $1,380.00 Closed
TSLA
Bull Put		 415.0/405.0
DTE 9		 edge 37.20% entered with reference edge +37.2% 124781714
entry Credit $4.93		 Exited edge gone; realized $3,060.00 Closed
MSFT
Bull Put		 425.0/415.0
DTE 9		 edge 51.06% entered with reference edge +51.1% 124912934
entry Credit $4.87		 Exited loss guard after adverse repricing; realized -$4,121.00 Closed
IWM
Bull Put		 285.0/275.0
DTE 2		 edge 11.17% entered with reference edge +11.2% 124516224
entry Credit $2.97		 Exited loss guard after adverse repricing; realized -$1,212.00 Closed
SPY
Bull Call		 745.0/720.0
DTE 2		 edge 66.58% entered with reference edge +66.6% 124085286
entry Debit $8.84		 Exited target close after favorable repricing; realized $422.00 Closed
COST
Credit Spread		 1015.0/985.0
DTE 2		 No linked prediction row entry snapshot unavailable; tracked under repriced-edge policy 124371599
entry Credit $9.73		 Exited broker reconcile confirmed flat; realized $0.00 Closed
TSM
Bull Put		 410.0/382.5
DTE -5		 edge 13.30% entered with reference edge +13.3% 123283314
entry Credit $11.78		 Exited time window closed before edge improved; realized $2.00 Closed
NVDA
Bull Call		 220.0/200.0
DTE -5		 edge 140.07% entered with reference edge +140.1% 124114217
entry Debit $3.89		 Exited unpriceable close market exit; realized -$16.00 Closed
COST
Bull Call		 1075.0/1015.0
DTE -5		 edge 108.21% entered with reference edge +108.2% 124099406
entry Debit $13.61		 Exited unpriceable close market exit; realized -$600.00 Closed

Performance first

Portfolio performance

Latest daily point 2026-05-14 5:56 PM ET.

Returns use explicit starting equity $200,000.00 when available from broker/account truth. Cumulative is first-class here, not buried.

-$1,722.00
Today

-0.86% vs base $199,958.00

-$6,228.00
WTD

-3.05% vs base $204,464.00

-$1,764.00
MTD

-0.88% vs base $200,000.00

-$1,764.00
YTD

-0.88% vs base $200,000.00

-$1,764.00
Cumulative

-0.88% vs base $200,000.00

$200,000.00
High-Water Mark

Peak daily account value in history.

-$135,184.97
Current Drawdown

Current equity vs HWM.

$20,209.00
Best Day

May 8

-$20,475.00
Worst Day

May 7

37.50%
Positive Day Rate

3 up / 4 down days.

2
Critical Attention

Immediate issues needing operator eyes.

Risk and concentration

Open risk, concentration, and book shape

Freshness: curated open-book rows through 2026-05-15 12:32 PT.

3 broker-truth positions live across 3 / 30 with mark coverage 3 / 3. Largest ticker exposure is AMZN $6,633.00 (3.32%).

$13,716.00
Open Risk

Deployed max risk across the live book.

3 / 30
Position Slots

Live occupancy vs configured cap.

3 / 3
Mark Coverage

Truthful MTM coverage on live positions.

AMZN $6,633.00 (3.32%)
Largest Ticker

Current concentration leader.

0
Warnings

Non-critical drift or missing evidence.

0.00%
Risk Deployed

Open risk as a share of current equity.

Chart view

Live-book ticker chart

Risk bars sized to the largest live ticker exposure.

Top bar shows deployed max risk by ticker. Bottom bar shows latest aggregate open MTM where a truthful mark exists.

AMZN 1 live spread • 1 marked
Risk $6,633.00
Open MTM $11.25
GOOGL 1 live spread • 1 marked
Risk $6,300.00
Open MTM -$90.00
MSFT 1 live spread • 1 marked
Risk $783.00
Open MTM $42.50

Chart view

Live book composition

3 broker-truth positions in the live book.

Structure mix, premium mix, hard-exit readiness, and row-truth coverage before the blotter.

Mix

Structure mix

By live spread structure.

Bull Put 3 live spreads
3

Mix

Premium mix

Credit vs debit balance.

Credit 3 live rows
3

Mix

Hard-exit readiness

Below 8 DTE is exit-required; 8 DTE is the boundary.

9+ DTE 3 positions
3

Mix

Row truth

Marks and broker-sync placeholder coverage.

Marked latest truthful MTM available
3

Chart view

Expiry ladder

Grouped by expiration so clustering is obvious before you read the blotter.

Top bar shows deployed max risk by expiry. Bottom bar shows aggregate truthful open MTM for that expiry when marks exist.

2026-06-12 23 DTE
Risk $13,716.00
3 live spreads • 3 / 3 marked -$36.25

Live positions that matter now

📂 Open Positions (3)

Freshness: curated open-book rows through 2026-05-15 12:32 PT.

Risk-sorted live blotter with urgency, row truth, DTE, and current MTM kept explicit.

Chart view

Live exposure ladder

Sorted by deployed max risk.

Risk, truthful MTM, expiry distance, and whether the row is curated or still broker-sync only.

AMZN • Bull Put $260.0/250.0 • 9 lots • Credit $2.63
Risk $6,633.00
Curated row • 23 DTE $11.25
GOOGL • Bull Put $390.0/380.0 • 9 lots • Credit $3.00
Risk $6,300.00
Curated row • 23 DTE -$90.00
MSFT • Bull Put $385.0/375.0 • 1 lot • Credit $2.17
Risk $783.00
Curated row • 23 DTE $42.50
Urgency Ticker Type Strikes Qty Entry Premium Max Risk Latest Open MTM Row Truth DTE Expiry Opened
Normal AMZN Bull Put $260.0/250.0 9 Credit $2.63 $6,633.00 $11.25 Curated 23 2026-06-12 2026-05-14 08:03
Normal GOOGL Bull Put $390.0/380.0 9 Credit $3.00 $6,300.00 -$90.00 Curated 23 2026-06-12 2026-05-14 11:02
Normal MSFT Bull Put $385.0/375.0 1 Credit $2.17 $783.00 $42.50 Curated 23 2026-06-12 2026-05-13 08:03

What is driving P&L

Attribution and outcomes

Freshness: exit inputs through 2026-05-15 12:32 PT.

Cumulative P&L by ticker and structure, without making you read the raw tape first.

By ticker

Cumulative contribution by ticker

TickerRealizedOpen MTMNet
TSLA $4,368.00 $0.00 $4,368.00
MSFT -$4,121.00 $42.50 -$4,078.50
COIN -$3,438.00 $0.00 -$3,438.00
NVDA -$2,956.00 $0.00 -$2,956.00
GME -$2,130.00 $0.00 -$2,130.00
BA -$1,881.00 $0.00 -$1,881.00
QQQ -$1,450.00 $0.00 -$1,450.00
TGT -$1,410.00 $0.00 -$1,410.00
DASH -$1,301.00 $0.00 -$1,301.00
IWM -$1,221.00 $0.00 -$1,221.00
SPY $983.00 $0.00 $983.00
CRM -$958.00 $0.00 -$958.00
JPM -$917.00 $0.00 -$917.00
COST -$657.00 $0.00 -$657.00
PLTR $483.00 $0.00 $483.00
GOOGL $513.00 -$90.00 $423.00
MU -$158.00 $0.00 -$158.00
BABA -$110.00 $0.00 -$110.00
HOOD -$108.00 $0.00 -$108.00
PYPL -$34.00 $0.00 -$34.00
UBER $31.00 $0.00 $31.00
AAPL $20.00 $0.00 $20.00
AMZN $0.00 $11.25 $11.25
TSM $2.00 $0.00 $2.00

By structure

Cumulative contribution by structure

StructureRealizedOpen MTMNet
Bull Put -$7,452.00 -$36.25 -$7,488.25
Bull Call -$6,803.00 $0.00 -$6,803.00
Bear Call -$1,898.00 $0.00 -$1,898.00
Bear Put -$297.00 $0.00 -$297.00
Credit Spread $0.00 $0.00 $0.00

Chart view

Exit rationale P&L chart

Realized exit P&L by rationale.

This view makes it easier to see whether the realized tape is being driven by profit-taking, stop discipline, time exits, or other close paths.

loss guard after adverse repricing 9 exits
-$10,874.00
unpriceable close market exit 26 exits
-$6,955.00
edge gone 5 exits
$5,151.00
safety override after adverse repricing 6 exits
-$3,057.00
time window closed before edge improved 13 exits
-$989.00
legacy non smart execution exit 4 exits
-$850.00
target close after favorable repricing 2 exits
$664.00
repriced edge fell below the hold threshold 24 exits
$269.00
repriced edge turned negative 4 exits
$191.00
broker reconcile confirmed flat 1 exit
$0.00

Exit rationale

Exit breakdown

Freshness: exit inputs through 2026-05-15 12:32 PT.

Exit RationaleCountP&L
broker reconcile confirmed flat 1 $0.00
edge gone 5 $5,151.00
legacy non smart execution exit 4 -$850.00
loss guard after adverse repricing 9 -$10,874.00
repriced edge fell below the hold threshold 24 $269.00
repriced edge turned negative 4 $191.00
safety override after adverse repricing 6 -$3,057.00
target close after favorable repricing 2 $664.00
time window closed before edge improved 13 -$989.00
unpriceable close market exit 26 -$6,955.00

Recent closes

Exit history

Freshness: exit inputs through 2026-05-15 12:32 PT.

TickerTypeEntry PremiumP&LExit RationaleOpenedClosed
BA Bull Put Credit $1.41 -$1,881.00 🛑 loss guard after adverse repricing 2026-05-14 2026-05-14
COIN Bull Put Credit $3.23 -$860.00 🛑 loss guard after adverse repricing 2026-05-14 2026-05-14
GOOGL Bull Put Credit $2.75 $513.00 🧭 repriced edge fell below the hold threshold 2026-05-13 2026-05-14
TSLA Bull Put Credit $2.86 -$180.00 🧭 repriced edge fell below the hold threshold 2026-05-14 2026-05-14
TSLA Bull Put Credit $2.64 $108.00 🧭 edge gone 2026-05-14 2026-05-14
PLTR Bull Put Credit $1.54 $483.00 🧭 edge gone 2026-05-13 2026-05-14
COIN Bull Put Credit $1.60 -$1,235.00 🛑 loss guard after adverse repricing 2026-05-13 2026-05-13
COIN Bull Put Credit $2.98 $120.00 🧭 edge gone 2026-05-13 2026-05-13
COIN Bull Put Credit $3.22 -$580.00 🛑 loss guard after adverse repricing 2026-05-12 2026-05-12
COIN Bull Put Credit $1.32 -$893.00 🛑 loss guard after adverse repricing 2026-05-12 2026-05-12
COIN Bull Put Credit $2.92 $20.00 ⏰ time window closed before edge improved 2026-05-11 2026-05-12
COIN Bull Put Credit $3.35 -$10.00 🛑 loss guard after adverse repricing 2026-05-11 2026-05-12
TSLA Bull Put Credit $4.95 $1,380.00 🧭 edge gone 2026-05-07 2026-05-11
TSLA Bull Put Credit $4.93 $3,060.00 🧭 edge gone 2026-05-07 2026-05-11
MSFT Bull Put Credit $4.87 -$4,121.00 🛑 loss guard after adverse repricing 2026-05-07 2026-05-08
IWM Bull Put Credit $2.97 -$1,212.00 🛑 loss guard after adverse repricing 2026-05-06 2026-05-07
SPY Bull Call Debit $8.84 $422.00 ✅ target close after favorable repricing 2026-05-04 2026-05-06
COST Credit Spread Credit $9.73 $0.00 🏦 broker reconcile confirmed flat 2026-05-05 2026-05-05
TSM Bull Put Credit $11.78 $2.00 ⏰ time window closed before edge improved 2026-04-27 2026-05-05
NVDA Bull Call Debit $3.89 -$16.00 🧭 unpriceable close market exit 2026-05-04 2026-05-04
COST Bull Call Debit $13.61 -$600.00 🧭 unpriceable close market exit 2026-05-04 2026-05-04
SPY Bull Call Debit $9.40 $46.00 🧭 unpriceable close market exit 2026-05-04 2026-05-04
JPM Bull Call Debit $4.71 -$372.00 🧭 unpriceable close market exit 2026-04-30 2026-05-04
QQQ Bull Call Debit $14.63 -$48.00 🧭 unpriceable close market exit 2026-05-04 2026-05-04
NVDA Bull Call Debit $5.00 $69.00 🧭 unpriceable close market exit 2026-05-04 2026-05-04
JPM Bull Call Debit $3.69 $377.00 🧭 unpriceable close market exit 2026-05-04 2026-05-04
GME Bull Call Debit $0.72 -$25.00 🧭 unpriceable close market exit 2026-05-04 2026-05-04
NVDA Bull Call Debit $4.30 $341.00 🧭 unpriceable close market exit 2026-05-04 2026-05-04
IWM Bull Call Debit $6.77 $0.00 🧭 unpriceable close market exit 2026-05-04 2026-05-04
QQQ Bull Call Debit $8.41 $21.00 🧭 unpriceable close market exit 2026-05-04 2026-05-04
QQQ Bull Call Debit $11.16 -$965.00 🧭 unpriceable close market exit 2026-05-04 2026-05-04
GME Bull Call Debit $0.53 -$525.00 🧭 unpriceable close market exit 2026-05-04 2026-05-04
COST Bull Call Debit $12.56 -$57.00 🧭 unpriceable close market exit 2026-05-04 2026-05-04
NVDA Bull Call Debit $2.88 -$1,520.00 🧭 unpriceable close market exit 2026-05-04 2026-05-04
NVDA Bull Call Debit $2.88 -$1,400.00 🧭 unpriceable close market exit 2026-05-04 2026-05-04
GME Bull Call Debit $0.91 -$1,050.00 🧭 unpriceable close market exit 2026-05-04 2026-05-04
QQQ Bull Call Debit $11.16 -$750.00 🧭 unpriceable close market exit 2026-05-04 2026-05-04
JPM Bull Call Debit $5.14 -$532.00 🧭 unpriceable close market exit 2026-05-04 2026-05-04
NVDA Bull Put Credit $2.06 -$132.00 ⏰ time window closed before edge improved 2026-05-01 2026-05-04
NVDA Bull Call Debit $3.64 -$440.00 ⏰ time window closed before edge improved 2026-05-01 2026-05-04
QQQ Bull Call Debit $1.69 -$77.00 ⏰ time window closed before edge improved 2026-05-01 2026-05-04
TGT Bull Put Credit $1.46 -$1,540.00 🧭 safety override after adverse repricing 2026-05-01 2026-05-04
BABA Bull Put Credit $1.92 -$82.00 🛑 loss guard after adverse repricing 2026-05-01 2026-05-01
BABA Bull Put Credit $1.92 -$28.00 🧭 unpriceable close market exit 2026-05-01 2026-05-01
QQQ Bull Call Debit $10.13 $242.00 ✅ target close after favorable repricing 2026-04-30 2026-05-01
SPY Bull Call Debit $4.42 $414.00 ⏰ time window closed before edge improved 2026-04-30 2026-05-01
JPM Bull Call Debit $3.53 -$390.00 ⏰ time window closed before edge improved 2026-04-30 2026-05-01
QQQ Bull Call Debit $5.40 $246.00 ⏰ time window closed before edge improved 2026-04-30 2026-05-01
MU Bull Put Credit $14.40 -$105.00 ⏰ time window closed before edge improved 2026-04-30 2026-05-01
SPY Bear Call Credit $6.23 $252.00 🧭 repriced edge turned negative 2026-04-27 2026-04-30

Compact tape

Recent activity

Freshness: events through 2026-05-14 15:50.

Entries, exits, and history here use Broker-truth SQLite positions. Open rows show the latest mark when one is available. Local render is broker-truth SQLite.

0
Opened Today
0
Closed Today
$0.00
Realized Today
2026-05-14 15:50
Latest Event

Chart view

Recent tape chart

Last 12 broker-truth events, oldest to newest.

Each bar is one entry or exit. Height tracks the current open MTM or realized close P&L already shown in the tape table below.

COIN 2026-05-12 09:03
Closed -$580.00

loss guard after adverse repricing

MSFT 2026-05-13 08:03
Opened $42.50

entered with reference edge +6.7%

COIN 2026-05-13 11:33
Closed $120.00

edge gone

COIN 2026-05-13 12:22
Closed -$1,235.00

loss guard after adverse repricing

PLTR 2026-05-14 07:02
Closed $483.00

edge gone

AMZN 2026-05-14 08:03
Opened $11.25

entered with reference edge +22.6%

TSLA 2026-05-14 09:02
Closed $108.00

edge gone

TSLA 2026-05-14 10:02
Closed -$180.00

repriced edge fell below the hold threshold

GOOGL 2026-05-14 11:02
Closed $513.00

repriced edge fell below the hold threshold

GOOGL 2026-05-14 11:02
Opened -$90.00

entry snapshot unavailable; tracked under repriced-edge policy

COIN 2026-05-14 12:32
Closed -$860.00

loss guard after adverse repricing

BA 2026-05-14 12:50
Closed -$1,881.00

loss guard after adverse repricing

WhenActionTickerTypeStrikesEntry PremiumOpen MTM / Exit P&LRationale
2026-05-14 12:50 Closed BA Bull Put $225.0/220.0 Credit $1.41 -$1,881.00 loss guard after adverse repricing
2026-05-14 12:32 Closed COIN Bull Put $205.0/195.0 Credit $3.23 -$860.00 loss guard after adverse repricing
2026-05-14 11:02 Opened GOOGL Bull Put $390.0/380.0 Credit $3.00 -$90.00 entry snapshot unavailable; tracked under repriced-edge policy
2026-05-14 11:02 Closed GOOGL Bull Put $385.0/375.0 Credit $2.75 $513.00 repriced edge fell below the hold threshold
2026-05-14 10:02 Closed TSLA Bull Put $420.0/410.0 Credit $2.86 -$180.00 repriced edge fell below the hold threshold
2026-05-14 09:02 Closed TSLA Bull Put $420.0/410.0 Credit $2.64 $108.00 edge gone
2026-05-14 08:03 Opened AMZN Bull Put $260.0/250.0 Credit $2.63 $11.25 entered with reference edge +22.6%
2026-05-14 07:02 Closed PLTR Bull Put $125.0/120.0 Credit $1.54 $483.00 edge gone
2026-05-13 12:22 Closed COIN Bull Put $190.0/185.0 Credit $1.60 -$1,235.00 loss guard after adverse repricing
2026-05-13 11:33 Closed COIN Bull Put $190.0/180.0 Credit $2.98 $120.00 edge gone
2026-05-13 08:03 Opened MSFT Bull Put $385.0/375.0 Credit $2.17 $42.50 entered with reference edge +6.7%
2026-05-12 09:03 Closed COIN Bull Put $195.0/185.0 Credit $3.22 -$580.00 loss guard after adverse repricing
2026-05-12 08:33 Closed COIN Bull Put $190.0/185.0 Credit $1.32 -$893.00 loss guard after adverse repricing
2026-05-12 06:32 Closed COIN Bull Put $205.0/195.0 Credit $2.92 $20.00 time window closed before edge improved
2026-05-12 06:32 Closed COIN Bull Put $205.0/195.0 Credit $3.35 -$10.00 loss guard after adverse repricing
2026-05-11 11:32 Closed TSLA Bull Put $415.0/405.0 Credit $4.95 $1,380.00 edge gone
2026-05-11 08:33 Closed TSLA Bull Put $415.0/405.0 Credit $4.93 $3,060.00 edge gone
2026-05-11 08:17 Closed TSLA Bull Put $415.0/$405.0 Credit $4.93 $0.00 duplicate sync placeholder retired
2026-05-11 08:17 Closed TSLA Bull Put $415.0/$405.0 Credit $4.95 $0.00 duplicate sync placeholder retired
2026-05-08 06:32 Closed MSFT Bull Put $425.0/415.0 Credit $4.87 -$4,121.00 loss guard after adverse repricing

Broker-confirmed truth

Live broker truth

Freshness: broker-truth entries through 2026-05-14 11:33 PT.

Broker-truth live positions, open marks, and today's entry tape kept explicit without taking over the top of the page.

No broker-truth entries today yet. If the page looks stale, the dashboard may simply be waiting on a fresh publish. Broker view rendered 2026-05-20 09:52:55 ET.

Local render is broker-truth SQLite. public dashboard published 2026-05-20 13:52 UTC.

0
Entries Today
2026-05-14 14:33:30 ET
Latest Entry
3
Broker-Truth Open Spreads
2026-05-20 13:52:55 UTC
Dashboard Rendered At
Entry TimeTickerTypeStrikesQtyEntry PremiumOrder IDTruth
No entries today
Diagnostics and archive Open only when debugging model rows, runtime proof, or historical cohorts

Prediction audit

Inference, calibration, and label truth

Freshness: latest inference row logged 2026-05-15T15:32:53.538509-04:00.

Full live inference rows are keyed by snapshot, ticker, expiry, and DTE. Each expandable row shows raw model quantiles, model-output quantiles, final calibrated distribution, and the calibration guard used before candidate pricing.

71
Rows Latest Cycle
36
Tickers Logged
71/71
Raw Model Blocks
71/71
Final Calibrated Blocks
0
Rows Label-Joined
0
Matured Labels
pending
Breach Brier
pending
P50 Abs Error MAE

Clickable live cycle

data/2026/05/15/15-30-20.json

Bars show final calibrated p05→p95 width. Click any row to inspect raw-vs-calibrated quantiles and the selected PIT bucket.

MU 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.05557123630832095
Raw GBM p500.04596544324012785
Model output p500.05557123630832086
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.42842435697983083 / 0.05557123630832095 / 0.7387327143658518
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
MARA 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.05999129798437641
Raw GBM p500.04609713677853256
Model output p500.05999129798437642
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.40233093304077483 / 0.05999129798437641 / 0.6994844140454519
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
MU 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.04865415311269716
Raw GBM p500.04126856148751226
Model output p500.048654153112697066
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.3869351127579659 / 0.04865415311269716 / 0.6401905118404547
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
MARA 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.052327619962678984
Raw GBM p500.039396944526778735
Model output p500.052327619962679074
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.3565276076963454 / 0.052327619962678984 / 0.5948231556428851
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
ARM 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.045222418093754824
Raw GBM p500.03301305346104136
Model output p500.04522241809375483
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.36061557098467223 / 0.045222418093754824 / 0.5836017482691458
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
NIO 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.056885509655233646
Raw GBM p500.04425146749188141
Model output p500.05688550965523358
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.3399396079492295 / 0.056885509655233646 / 0.5776251201483138
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
COIN 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.043661199114052085
Raw GBM p500.03156243509494978
Model output p500.04366119911405204
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.3500801775323612 / 0.043661199114052085 / 0.5611397240433598
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
SMCI 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.02984045612066266
Raw GBM p500.01758679538579182
Model output p500.029840456120662724
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.3623501370442995 / 0.02984045612066266 / 0.5468323133837449
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
AMD 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.05051725747772262
Raw GBM p500.03814595128363798
Model output p500.05051725747772252
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.3332081474194748 / 0.05051725747772262 / 0.5497838383674658
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
SMCI 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.02164752010318627
Raw GBM p500.012421433920881554
Model output p500.021647520103186227
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.3422075268257938 / 0.02164752010318627 / 0.4914864557719212
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
NIO 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.04815514252980346
Raw GBM p500.037341641208122195
Model output p500.048155142529803505
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.31446233370613097 / 0.04815514252980346 / 0.5124871435921972
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
HOOD 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.030319344173761698
Raw GBM p500.015234623735431373
Model output p500.030319344173761698
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.3217322609443092 / 0.030319344173761698 / 0.47955246932442774
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
COIN 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.03493045660648719
Raw GBM p500.025143929760279113
Model output p500.03493045660648719
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.30927298140170145 / 0.03493045660648719 / 0.4709117211702287
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
ARM 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.039316182895358764
Raw GBM p500.027106006880048716
Model output p500.039316182895358674
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.2982946741365826 / 0.039316182895358764 / 0.46428441509901464
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
AMD 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.040365185760327105
Raw GBM p500.0309162509097569
Model output p500.04036518576032719
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.2968606165458889 / 0.040365185760327105 / 0.46461092877694976
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
AVGO 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.051685851490377965
Raw GBM p500.03950134999797649
Model output p500.05168585149037787
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.28533275534302793 / 0.051685851490377965 / 0.4744198924711369
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
RIVN 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.04583579486768952
Raw GBM p500.032931023555957645
Model output p500.04583579486768959
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.28830027034248407 / 0.04583579486768952 / 0.46463117192625414
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
CRM 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.02568465233061512
Raw GBM p500.010889954516054082
Model output p500.025684652330615187
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.30606698069972915 / 0.02568465233061512 / 0.4428099636573566
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
CRM 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.018836435355162218
Raw GBM p500.008823074751080804
Model output p500.018836435355162124
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.29604895799133224 / 0.018836435355162218 / 0.4102412305526739
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
SOFI 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.027964925887948855
Raw GBM p500.013818222079221648
Model output p500.02796492588794875
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.2871671730097274 / 0.027964925887948855 / 0.41890067790693
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
HOOD 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.02291255694164418
Raw GBM p500.010306956221762231
Model output p500.022912556941644232
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.2895163661272313 / 0.02291255694164418 / 0.41014943394177483
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
AVGO 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.04112666807438914
Raw GBM p500.029570689198990117
Model output p500.041126668074389215
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.26934800284653304 / 0.04112666807438914 / 0.42375991754136844
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
GME 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.035266556971708996
Raw GBM p500.02810376965216986
Model output p500.035266556971709044
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.27056353525873067 / 0.035266556971708996 / 0.41134983985179496
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
NVDA 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.04769268140790306
Raw GBM p500.03502351865744976
Model output p500.04769268140790302
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.2490976839938096 / 0.04769268140790306 / 0.40922702772402597
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
SFM 2026-06-18 • 34 DTE final p50 0.040396351805837005
Raw GBM p500.03252587472002278
Model output p500.04039635180583709
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.25352451617425564 / 0.040396351805837005 / 0.3982213313289473
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
RIVN 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.036845474636101105
Raw GBM p500.026511045840964097
Model output p500.03684547463610105
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.2549777595417446 / 0.036845474636101105 / 0.39182658756488986
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
PLTR 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.031097949279355275
Raw GBM p500.02251478221509215
Model output p500.031097949279355372
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.25757305706517775 / 0.031097949279355275 / 0.38184075558437813
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
TGT 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.02136694952738405
Raw GBM p500.015092856665773221
Model output p500.021366949527384025
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.25970943296854654 / 0.02136694952738405 / 0.36162854252305365
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
TSLA 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.02432514805552688
Raw GBM p500.012396937710742033
Model output p500.02432514805552683
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.2519705927077054 / 0.02432514805552688 / 0.3573996013510241
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
SOFI 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.020791394552031717
Raw GBM p500.01185244666299875
Model output p500.020791394552031824
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.2550911702727401 / 0.020791394552031717 / 0.3535026073854093
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
TSM 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.037023118477607087
Raw GBM p500.02400966150967125
Model output p500.03702311847760705
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.23895030873940626 / 0.037023118477607087 / 0.36879065137345357
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
NVDA 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.03662226397376078
Raw GBM p500.027851000805323364
Model output p500.03662226397376083
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.2375449460600908 / 0.03662226397376078 / 0.3658062055821074
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
TGT 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.028853129976827985
Raw GBM p500.018364301430174382
Model output p500.028853129976827922
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.24028099724312713 / 0.028853129976827985 / 0.35128213044573675
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
PLTR 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.02212255585539591
Raw GBM p500.016090208359968782
Model output p500.022122555855395905
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.2308907877939026 / 0.02212255585539591 / 0.3220336067078493
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
BABA 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.04809504540963583
Raw GBM p500.03461411709650792
Model output p500.04809504540963574
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.20530681769671755 / 0.04809504540963583 / 0.34717021998081865
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
BABA 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.038021036987681445
Raw GBM p500.027778253720725597
Model output p500.038021036987681535
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.19886326579170677 / 0.038021036987681445 / 0.3147913389479695
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
TSLA 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.01813956598377886
Raw GBM p500.008574246707980711
Model output p500.01813956598377881
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.2180018882225535 / 0.01813956598377886 / 0.2948056453223915
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
TSM 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.027076047425881322
Raw GBM p500.01900627733232354
Model output p500.027076047425881315
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.20770282645371563 / 0.027076047425881322 / 0.30146403692839585
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
UBER 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.023177138607076486
Raw GBM p500.019006011031189107
Model output p500.023177138607076438
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.20410704747672226 / 0.023177138607076486 / 0.2875422027389818
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
BA 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.03638597334124949
Raw GBM p500.025649388270002627
Model output p500.0363859733412494
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.1781785353615486 / 0.03638597334124949 / 0.2832093202978123
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
GME 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.02788022637377119
Raw GBM p500.024326622030240264
Model output p500.02788022637377116
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.18048229371129 / 0.02788022637377119 / 0.2668172385529073
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
GOOGL 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.0574824301268515
Raw GBM p500.04120585484297534
Model output p500.057482430126851544
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.1480592915261798 / 0.0574824301268515 / 0.2917661366549289
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
PYPL 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.04021904748327598
Raw GBM p500.02710861790186268
Model output p500.040219047483276
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.1643324736367453 / 0.04021904748327598 / 0.273757158657558
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
META 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.029407535223926473
Raw GBM p500.017691106740691184
Model output p500.029407535223926577
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.1740353577720155 / 0.029407535223926473 / 0.2618459185177975
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
NFLX 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.03695078924279582
Raw GBM p500.02539741189557505
Model output p500.03695078924279586
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.15908912571256306 / 0.03695078924279582 / 0.2595507079632089
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
UBER 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.01626746872914775
Raw GBM p500.014909570673834638
Model output p500.016267468729147853
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.17901669700821488 / 0.01626746872914775 / 0.23850487288701516
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
GOOGL 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.04559035853573268
Raw GBM p500.03261168752689056
Model output p500.04559035853573268
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.1498690761628676 / 0.04559035853573268 / 0.2671940802855737
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
BA 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.028292991906567755
Raw GBM p500.019694978776331338
Model output p500.028292991906567703
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.16226735205307852 / 0.028292991906567755 / 0.24409162363178383
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
MSFT 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.02976943016873368
Raw GBM p500.022099996874738178
Model output p500.02976943016873361
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.15853641378337002 / 0.02976943016873368 / 0.2426406003080308
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
JPM 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.03267569528634606
Raw GBM p500.025690922353280753
Model output p500.032675695286346125
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.15501512730743727 / 0.03267569528634606 / 0.24468331234706042
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
AMZN 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.05469039804930165
Raw GBM p500.04225414522444219
Model output p500.05469039804930168
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.12804230444540265 / 0.05469039804930165 / 0.25985257515057936
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
PYPL 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.03133278954635377
Raw GBM p500.02169491790960887
Model output p500.0313327895463537
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.1464407622629158 / 0.03133278954635377 / 0.2308018489558319
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
DASH 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.028398261256443957
Raw GBM p500.017727676784900268
Model output p500.028398261256443885
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.1123176107652436 / 0.028398261256443957 / 0.2625849418411532
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
META 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.021207876596819775
Raw GBM p500.013314171694635522
Model output p500.021207876596819716
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.1535698758827494 / 0.021207876596819775 / 0.21714530854878933
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
NFLX 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.02694680023266227
Raw GBM p500.018878832503879967
Model output p500.026946800232662296
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.14256795142645773 / 0.02694680023266227 / 0.2161685215610747
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
COST 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.013757624497103826
Raw GBM p500.009073037000368996
Model output p500.013757624497103868
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.15045607749993284 / 0.013757624497103826 / 0.19666434008534828
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
MSFT 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.02128030123532265
Raw GBM p500.014510015290134461
Model output p500.0212803012353226
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.1428177220249086 / 0.02128030123532265 / 0.20389022305012627
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
DASH 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.019656166756105486
Raw GBM p500.012504527323991113
Model output p500.01965616675610557
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.09277304170672374 / 0.019656166756105486 / 0.24277602238237161
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
AMZN 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.04243337798441549
Raw GBM p500.033916349703858296
Model output p500.04243337798441557
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.115792036033868 / 0.04243337798441549 / 0.21741380839906466
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
COST 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.019810417084561438
Raw GBM p500.012480255848252362
Model output p500.019810417084561483
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.13567360926860794 / 0.019810417084561438 / 0.19184078196504806
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
AAPL 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.04698361927926831
Raw GBM p500.040983262840259355
Model output p500.04698361927926835
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.10814667356763374 / 0.04698361927926831 / 0.21810884440286116
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
DIS 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.039440894124456616
Raw GBM p500.025655278070183224
Model output p500.039440894124456644
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.10472477069441577 / 0.039440894124456616 / 0.19742809411589168
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
JPM 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.02289231980598405
Raw GBM p500.018935151251796806
Model output p500.02289231980598402
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.11921144246363402 / 0.02289231980598405 / 0.1786445252465394
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
AAPL 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.036823448614066834
Raw GBM p500.03328979851419372
Model output p500.036823448614066896
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.09309391966371194 / 0.036823448614066834 / 0.17788903063742834
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
IWM 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.023722321662140722
Raw GBM p500.044329947448706046
Model output p500.02372232166214074
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.09837736120229068 / 0.023722321662140722 / 0.15192086178237818
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • index_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
QQQ 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.01995673734248604
Raw GBM p500.04151976887528457
Model output p500.019956737342486007
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.10190797349400382 / 0.01995673734248604 / 0.1455997422636024
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • index_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
IWM 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.019942507612232374
Raw GBM p500.03542976971099033
Model output p500.019942507612232454
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.09744068947421636 / 0.019942507612232374 / 0.12809946340497613
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • index_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
QQQ 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.019416028368424376
Raw GBM p500.03349219249339318
Model output p500.019416028368424376
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.09725771543797535 / 0.019416028368424376 / 0.1279203700320195
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • index_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
DIS 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.027965332607351456
Raw GBM p500.01725432363491612
Model output p500.02796533260735153
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.07300183295881224 / 0.027965332607351456 / 0.145375626723375
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • stock_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
SPY 2026-06-12 • 28 DTE final p50 0.006309829686592883
Raw GBM p500.02257321454352131
Model output p500.006309829686592791
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.09864280515085189 / 0.006309829686592883 / 0.10555013963714943
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • index_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required
SPY 2026-06-05 • 21 DTE final p50 0.005030581231036058
Raw GBM p500.017822947469750185
Model output p500.005030581231035972
Final calibrated p05/p50/p95-0.09676485479868058 / 0.005030581231036058 / 0.09807633914089786
Calibrationreplay_derived_pit • index_long
Guardok
Modegbm_candidate_proposal_sequence_tft_required

Operator and system detail

Execution, runtime, and proof

Operator/runtime/proof truth stays available here, below the portfolio and risk path.

Operator

Operator summary

Freshness: cycle-context inputs through 2026-05-15 12:32 PT. Open-book sections read broker-truth SQLite directly and can move ahead of the latest cycle summary.

Open-Book Structure Mix
Bull Put x3
Open-Book Premium Mix
Credit x3
This-Cycle Structure Mix
No trades selected this cycle.
This-Cycle Premium Mix
No trades selected this cycle.
Opposite-Structure Lifecycle
Bull Call: generated=0, selected=0, submitted=0, repriced=0, filled=0, blocked=0; Bear Put: generated=0, selected=0, submitted=0, repriced=0, filled=0, blocked=0
Occupancy Usage
3 / 30 slots used (10.0%); per-ticker cap 8
Covariance / Cap Blocks
Cap blocks: No portfolio cap / guard blocks recorded this cycle. Covariance: No covariance / concentration blocks recorded this cycle.
Current-Cycle Live Blockers
No live blockers recorded this cycle.
Replacement Actions
No replacement actions recorded this cycle.
Broker P/L Canonical
Broker truth canonical: equity=64815.03, open_pl=53.0, close_pl=-1817.0. broker_legs=6, orders=12, open_order_signatures=0; local P/L authority=false (attribution/display only).
Circuit Breaker / Blocks
tripped=True reason=operator_requested_ibkr_migration_stop_all_tradier_automation blocks={'entries': True, 'mandatory_verified_exits': True, 'replacement_exits': True, 'synthetic_position_exits': True}.
Unwind Proof Counts
buckets={'green': 0, 'red': 0, 'yellow': 3} bad_inventory={} broker_legs=6 open_orders=0 manual_escalation_required=3 generated_at=2026-05-14T21:56:26.004896Z.
Safe Resume Checklist
broker_local_sync_ok=True failures=[]; broker_legs=None sqlite_open_rows=None positions_json_open_rows=None generated_at=2026-05-20T13:52:54.723758Z.
Entry Rationale
Entries are described by structure, premium style, and selected edge after repricing and portfolio filters.
Exit Rationale
Exits are described as repriced-edge deterioration, target captures, or explicit safety overrides — including the hard <8 DTE exit rule.

Runtime

Cycle health

Freshness: last completed cycle through 2026-05-15 12:32 PT. Unavailable fields stay explicit when producers do not persist them.

Last Completed Cycle
2026-05-15 12:32 PT • selected 0 • submitted 0
Snapshot Age At Close
data/2026/05/15/15-30-20.json; 2m 36s old at cycle close.
Ingest Age
Unavailable: listener ingest timestamp is not persisted in cycle summary / latency artifacts.
Cycle Runtime / SLO
28.2s; within 45s SLO target.
Stage Mix
process 23.9s, s3 522ms, execution 495ms, model 461ms
Execution Substages
Unavailable: no execution substage timings persisted in the cycle-latency surface.
Hold State
Inactive.
Dashboard Publish
public dashboard published 2026-05-20 13:52 UTC

Archive

Historical release proof

Freshness: artifact scan at 2026-05-20 06:52 PT. This panel is historical release evidence, not current-cycle acceptance truth. Use cycle-health and live operator sections for current runtime evidence.

Final-Shape Release Proof not tracked

No archived final-shape release proof found in the historical proof inventory.

Portfolio-State Release Proof not tracked

No archived portfolio-state release proof found in the historical proof inventory.

Additional Release Proof Notes not tracked

No extra historical release-proof notes are configured beyond the auto-discovered proof inventory.

Chart view

Capital deployment and signal tape

Account, runtime, and publish context at render time.

The system section should read like an operator console, not a leftover stat box. This keeps deployment, P&L vectors, and runtime signals on one surface.

Capital

Deployment rails

Deployed risk$13,716.00 against $0.00 equity
0.0%
Cash reserve$0.00 cash on hand
0.0%
Largest tickerAMZN $6,633.00 (3.32%)
100.0% cap

P&L

P&L vectors

Realized Today
$0.00
Open MTM Today
$0.00
Realized Cumulative
-$32,245.24
Open MTM Cumulative
-$36.25
Listener✅ Running • 3:15 PM (4 days ago) • market closedLast Snapshot12:30 PM PT / 3:30 PM ET • 4 days agoTrading Lease⚠️ Expired — 3:52 PM PTModel FreshnessGBM + TFT (May 10)Last Public Publishpublic dashboard published 2026-05-20 13:52 UTCAttention2 critical, 0 warning

Archive: mark history by entry cohort

Daily cohort MTM history

Freshness: marks through 2026-05-14, latest capture 2026-05-14 14:56 PT.

30
Mark Dates
18
Entry Cohorts
180
Daily Mark Rows
$87.42
Latest Trade-Date MTM
$28.7K$19.0K$9.4K-$329-$10.0K 2026-04-07 • cohort 2026-04-07 • 1 marks • MTM $6.002026-04-08 • cohort 2026-04-08 • 1 marks • MTM $46.002026-04-09 • cohort 2026-04-08 • 1 marks • MTM $37.002026-04-13 • cohort 2026-04-13 • 2 marks • MTM -$63.332026-04-14 • cohort 2026-04-13 • 1 marks • MTM -$40.672026-04-14 • cohort 2026-04-14 • 4 marks • MTM $142.002026-04-15 • cohort 2026-04-14 • 4 marks • MTM $89.582026-04-15 • cohort 2026-04-15 • 2 marks • MTM $134.002026-04-16 • cohort 2026-04-14 • 2 marks • MTM $45.582026-04-16 • cohort 2026-04-15 • 2 marks • MTM $279.752026-04-17 • cohort 2026-04-14 • 1 marks • MTM -$48.002026-04-17 • cohort 2026-04-15 • 1 marks • MTM -$94.002026-04-17 • cohort 2026-04-17 • 1 marks • MTM -$4.002026-04-23 • cohort 2026-04-23 • 6 marks • MTM $6,156.002026-04-24 • cohort 2026-04-23 • 4 marks • MTM -$201.002026-04-24 • cohort 2026-04-24 • 18 marks • MTM $24,979.672026-04-25 • cohort 2026-04-23 • 2 marks • MTM -$315.002026-04-25 • cohort 2026-04-24 • 4 marks • MTM -$29.502026-04-26 • cohort 2026-04-23 • 2 marks • MTM -$315.002026-04-26 • cohort 2026-04-24 • 4 marks • MTM -$29.502026-04-27 • cohort 2026-04-23 • 2 marks • MTM -$776.002026-04-27 • cohort 2026-04-24 • 4 marks • MTM -$3.332026-04-27 • cohort 2026-04-27 • 11 marks • MTM -$1,424.672026-04-28 • cohort 2026-04-27 • 4 marks • MTM -$472.752026-04-29 • cohort 2026-04-27 • 3 marks • MTM -$209.332026-04-30 • cohort 2026-04-27 • 2 marks • MTM -$366.922026-04-30 • cohort 2026-04-30 • 6 marks • MTM $857.752026-05-01 • cohort 2026-04-27 • 1 marks • MTM -$125.002026-05-01 • cohort 2026-04-30 • 6 marks • MTM $851.672026-05-01 • cohort 2026-05-01 • 6 marks • MTM -$624.172026-05-02 • cohort 2026-04-27 • 1 marks • MTM -$125.002026-05-02 • cohort 2026-04-30 • 1 marks • MTM -$59.002026-05-02 • cohort 2026-05-01 • 4 marks • MTM -$171.502026-05-03 • cohort 2026-04-27 • 1 marks • MTM -$125.002026-05-03 • cohort 2026-04-30 • 1 marks • MTM -$59.002026-05-03 • cohort 2026-05-01 • 4 marks • MTM -$171.502026-05-04 • cohort 2026-04-27 • 1 marks • MTM $6.502026-05-04 • cohort 2026-04-30 • 1 marks • MTM -$384.002026-05-04 • cohort 2026-05-01 • 4 marks • MTM -$641.332026-05-04 • cohort 2026-05-04 • 19 marks • MTM -$5,239.752026-05-05 • cohort 2026-05-04 • 1 marks • MTM $190.752026-05-06 • cohort 2026-05-04 • 1 marks • MTM $182.672026-05-06 • cohort 2026-05-06 • 1 marks • MTM $357.002026-05-07 • cohort 2026-05-06 • 1 marks • MTM -$876.002026-05-07 • cohort 2026-05-07 • 2 marks • MTM -$1,984.002026-05-08 • cohort 2026-05-07 • 3 marks • MTM $4,324.672026-05-09 • cohort 2026-05-07 • 2 marks • MTM $3,822.002026-05-10 • cohort 2026-05-07 • 2 marks • MTM $3,822.002026-05-11 • cohort 2026-05-07 • 2 marks • MTM $4,455.002026-05-11 • cohort 2026-05-11 • 2 marks • MTM -$297.502026-05-12 • cohort 2026-05-11 • 2 marks • MTM -$526.672026-05-12 • cohort 2026-05-12 • 2 marks • MTM -$4,123.002026-05-13 • cohort 2026-05-13 • 5 marks • MTM $1,250.252026-05-14 • cohort 2026-05-13 • 3 marks • MTM $1,239.502026-05-14 • cohort 2026-05-14 • 6 marks • MTM -$1,152.08 2026-04-072026-04-082026-04-092026-04-132026-04-142026-04-152026-04-162026-04-172026-04-232026-04-242026-04-252026-04-262026-04-272026-04-282026-04-292026-04-302026-05-012026-05-022026-05-032026-05-042026-05-052026-05-062026-05-072026-05-082026-05-092026-05-102026-05-112026-05-122026-05-132026-05-14
2026-04-072026-04-082026-04-132026-04-142026-04-152026-04-172026-04-232026-04-242026-04-272026-04-302026-05-012026-05-042026-05-062026-05-072026-05-112026-05-122026-05-132026-05-14
Mark DateEntry CohortsMarked RowsCohort BreakdownAggregate MTM
2026-04-07 1 1
2026-04-07: $6.00 (1)
 $6.00
2026-04-08 1 1
2026-04-08: $46.00 (1)
 $46.00
2026-04-09 1 1
2026-04-08: $37.00 (1)
 $37.00
2026-04-13 1 2
2026-04-13: -$63.33 (2)
 -$63.33
2026-04-14 2 5
2026-04-13: -$40.67 (1)
2026-04-14: $142.00 (4)
 $101.33
2026-04-15 2 6
2026-04-14: $89.58 (4)
2026-04-15: $134.00 (2)
 $223.58
2026-04-16 2 4
2026-04-14: $45.58 (2)
2026-04-15: $279.75 (2)
 $325.33
2026-04-17 3 3
2026-04-14: -$48.00 (1)
2026-04-15: -$94.00 (1)
2026-04-17: -$4.00 (1)
 -$146.00
2026-04-23 1 6
2026-04-23: $6,156.00 (6)
 $6,156.00
2026-04-24 2 22
2026-04-23: -$201.00 (4)
2026-04-24: $24,979.67 (18)
 $24,778.67
2026-04-25 2 6
2026-04-23: -$315.00 (2)
2026-04-24: -$29.50 (4)
 -$344.50
2026-04-26 2 6
2026-04-23: -$315.00 (2)
2026-04-24: -$29.50 (4)
 -$344.50
2026-04-27 3 17
2026-04-23: -$776.00 (2)
2026-04-24: -$3.33 (4)
2026-04-27: -$1,424.67 (11)
 -$2,204.00
2026-04-28 1 4
2026-04-27: -$472.75 (4)
 -$472.75
2026-04-29 1 3
2026-04-27: -$209.33 (3)
 -$209.33
2026-04-30 2 8
2026-04-27: -$366.92 (2)
2026-04-30: $857.75 (6)
 $490.83
2026-05-01 3 13
2026-04-27: -$125.00 (1)
2026-04-30: $851.67 (6)
2026-05-01: -$624.17 (6)
 $102.50
2026-05-02 3 6
2026-04-27: -$125.00 (1)
2026-04-30: -$59.00 (1)
2026-05-01: -$171.50 (4)
 -$355.50
2026-05-03 3 6
2026-04-27: -$125.00 (1)
2026-04-30: -$59.00 (1)
2026-05-01: -$171.50 (4)
 -$355.50
2026-05-04 4 25
2026-04-27: $6.50 (1)
2026-04-30: -$384.00 (1)
2026-05-01: -$641.33 (4)
2026-05-04: -$5,239.75 (19)
 -$6,258.58
2026-05-05 1 1
2026-05-04: $190.75 (1)
 $190.75
2026-05-06 2 2
2026-05-04: $182.67 (1)
2026-05-06: $357.00 (1)
 $539.67
2026-05-07 2 3
2026-05-06: -$876.00 (1)
2026-05-07: -$1,984.00 (2)
 -$2,860.00
2026-05-08 1 3
2026-05-07: $4,324.67 (3)
 $4,324.67
2026-05-09 1 2
2026-05-07: $3,822.00 (2)
 $3,822.00
2026-05-10 1 2
2026-05-07: $3,822.00 (2)
 $3,822.00
2026-05-11 2 4
2026-05-07: $4,455.00 (2)
2026-05-11: -$297.50 (2)
 $4,157.50
2026-05-12 2 4
2026-05-11: -$526.67 (2)
2026-05-12: -$4,123.00 (2)
 -$4,649.67
2026-05-13 1 5
2026-05-13: $1,250.25 (5)
 $1,250.25
2026-05-14 2 9
2026-05-13: $1,239.50 (3)
2026-05-14: -$1,152.08 (6)
 $87.42

Archive: structure and vintage readout

Historical vintages

Freshness: cohort inputs through 2026-05-15 12:32 PT.

52
Structure Cohort Rows
27
Entry Dates
227
Closed Positions
3 / 3
Marked Open
-$32,245.24
Realized Exit P&L
-$36.25
Open MTM

Chart view

Structure cohort ladder

Most recent 12 entry-date structure cohorts.

Each cohort row now reads like a ledger ladder: realized exit P&L and latest open MTM are charted separately on the same money scale.

2026-05-14 • Bull Put 6 entries • 2 / 2 marked open
Closed 4
Realized Exit P&L -$2,813.00
Latest Open MTM -$78.75
2026-05-13 • Bull Put 5 entries • 1 / 1 marked open
Closed 4
Realized Exit P&L -$119.00
Latest Open MTM $42.50
2026-05-12 • Bull Put 2 entries • 0 / 0 marked open
Closed 2
Realized Exit P&L -$1,473.00
Latest Open MTM $0.00
2026-05-11 • Bull Put 2 entries • 0 / 0 marked open
Closed 2
Realized Exit P&L $10.00
Latest Open MTM $0.00
2026-05-07 • Bull Put 3 entries • 0 / 0 marked open
Closed 5
Realized Exit P&L $319.00
Latest Open MTM $0.00
2026-05-06 • Bull Put 4 entries • 0 / 0 marked open
Closed 4
Realized Exit P&L -$1,833.00
Latest Open MTM $0.00
2026-05-06 • Bull Call 2 entries • 0 / 0 marked open
Closed 3
Realized Exit P&L -$11,317.00
Latest Open MTM $0.00
2026-05-06 • Iron Condor 3 entries • 0 / 0 marked open
Closed 3
Realized Exit P&L $0.00
Latest Open MTM $0.00
2026-05-05 • Credit Spread 1 entries • 0 / 0 marked open
Closed 1
Realized Exit P&L $0.00
Latest Open MTM $0.00
2026-05-04 • Bull Call 31 entries • 0 / 0 marked open
Closed 34
Realized Exit P&L -$13,706.24
Latest Open MTM $0.00
2026-05-04 • Iron Condor 3 entries • 0 / 0 marked open
Closed 3
Realized Exit P&L $0.00
Latest Open MTM $0.00
2026-05-01 • Bull Put 5 entries • 0 / 0 marked open
Closed 6
Realized Exit P&L -$1,782.00
Latest Open MTM $0.00
Entry DateStructureEntriesClosedMarked OpenRealized Exit P&LLatest Open MTM
2026-05-14 Bull Put 6 4 2 / 2 -$2,813.00 -$78.75
2026-05-13 Bull Put 5 4 1 / 1 -$119.00 $42.50
2026-05-12 Bull Put 2 2 0 / 0 -$1,473.00 —
2026-05-11 Bull Put 2 2 0 / 0 $10.00 —
2026-05-07 Bull Put 3 5 0 / 0 $319.00 —
2026-05-06 Bull Put 4 4 0 / 0 -$1,833.00 —
2026-05-06 Bull Call 2 3 0 / 0 -$11,317.00 —
2026-05-06 Iron Condor 3 3 0 / 0 $0.00 —
2026-05-05 Credit Spread 1 1 0 / 0 $0.00 —
2026-05-04 Bull Call 31 34 0 / 0 -$13,706.24 —
2026-05-04 Iron Condor 3 3 0 / 0 $0.00 —
2026-05-01 Bull Put 5 6 0 / 0 -$1,782.00 —
2026-05-01 Bull Call 6 8 0 / 0 $2,180.01 —
2026-05-01 Iron Condor 2 2 0 / 0 $0.00 —
2026-04-30 Bull Put 2 3 0 / 0 -$105.00 —
2026-04-30 Bear Call 1 1 0 / 0 $0.00 —
2026-04-30 Bull Call 7 11 0 / 0 $101.00 —
2026-04-30 Iron Condor 1 1 0 / 0 $0.00 —
2026-04-27 Bull Put 9 12 0 / 0 -$1,513.00 —
2026-04-27 Bear Call 4 6 0 / 0 $371.00 —
2026-04-27 Bull Call 7 7 0 / 0 -$9.01 —
2026-04-27 Iron Condor 1 1 0 / 0 $0.00 —
2026-04-24 Bull Put 3 5 0 / 0 $6.00 —
2026-04-24 Bear Call 6 10 0 / 0 -$21.00 —
2026-04-24 Bull Call 12 21 0 / 0 -$210.00 —
2026-04-24 Iron Condor 2 2 0 / 0 $0.00 —
2026-04-23 Bull Put 2 2 0 / 0 $111.00 —
2026-04-23 Bear Call 3 3 0 / 0 -$603.00 —
2026-04-23 Bull Call 4 4 0 / 0 $816.00 —
2026-04-23 Bear Put 1 1 0 / 0 -$297.00 —
2026-04-23 Iron Condor 2 2 0 / 0 $0.00 —
2026-04-17 Bull Put 2 2 0 / 0 $71.00 —
2026-04-17 Bear Call 1 1 0 / 0 $6.00 —
2026-04-17 Bull Call 1 1 0 / 0 $189.00 —
2026-04-16 Bull Put 2 2 0 / 0 $95.00 —
2026-04-16 Bull Call 2 2 0 / 0 $738.00 —
2026-04-16 Iron Condor 2 2 0 / 0 -$39.00 —
2026-04-15 Bull Put 1 2 0 / 0 $130.00 —
2026-04-15 Bear Call 1 2 0 / 0 -$990.00 —
2026-04-14 Bull Put 2 4 0 / 0 -$33.00 —
2026-04-14 Bear Call 2 3 0 / 0 -$414.00 —
2026-04-13 Bear Call 3 5 0 / 0 -$165.00 —
2026-04-09 Bull Put 1 1 0 / 0 $13.00 —
2026-04-09 Iron Condor 1 1 0 / 0 $0.00 —
2026-04-08 Bear Call 5 6 0 / 0 $327.00 —
2026-04-07 Bear Call 5 5 0 / 0 -$44.00 —
2026-04-01 Bear Call 1 1 0 / 0 -$168.00 —
2026-03-31 Bear Call 1 1 0 / 0 -$74.00 —
2026-03-30 Bear Call 7 7 0 / 0 $0.00 —
2026-03-27 Bear Call 1 1 0 / 0 $0.00 —
2026-03-26 Bear Call 4 4 0 / 0 $0.00 —
2026-03-25 Bear Call 1 1 0 / 0 $0.00 —
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